Welcome

Welcome to Touchdown Buddha - a website dedicated to providing you with the statistical knowledge needed to handicap NFL games. Each season, we capture the game statistics for each NFL game and provide this information to you at no cost in an easy to access format. Every week this site provides head to head analysis for each game as well as our own picks. Here you will also find our Power Rankings for each team in the league, as well has complete statistics for the entire season and the last five games played for each team. Historical team statistics are also available.

Overall Spread Results 2014-2015

Games:  
Underdogs:
Spread Games:
Underdogs Covering:    
1-4 pts.  
4.5-8.5 pts.  
9-13.5 pts  
+14 pts.  

The table to the right contains overall against-the-spread information for every NFL game in the last two seasons. We have noticed the following, which appears to be invariant from one season to the next:

  • Underdogs beat the spread roughly 50% of the time
  • The number of games where the spread actually matters (i.e., the favorite wins but the underdog covers the spread) is roughly 15% of the total each year
  • Larger underdogs have a better chance of beating the spread (either by winning outright or covering) than smaller underdogs, but not as often as you would expect

We hope you are able to use this site and the information provided on it to better your NFL handicapping skills.  Good luck!

NFL Picks

These NFL game picks are provided each week of the season for your information. An overall season record is posted, along with game analysis and a selection. All picks are made against the spread, using our best estimate of the Las Vegas line for the game at the time the pick was posted. Post-season games are also handicapped (we do not make pre-season picks). These selections should be used for informational purposes only - we make no claim to the accuracy of these picks.

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NFL Team Power Rankings

The Touchdown Buddha Power Rating is based on a mathematical model that considers every game played in the season, weighted such that the later games have more importance. In theory, the difference between the Power Rating for each team should give an approximate score difference if the two teams play each other. For example, if the Broncos have a power rating of 50.0 and the Jets have a Power Rating of 41.5, the Broncos should be an 8 1/2 point favorite if the two teams meet. The model is based upon the scores of previous games played by every team, and it considers all of these factors to arrive at a single power rating for each team.

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Full Season Statistics

These tables contain the latest NFL season statistics for each team, broken out by category. To sort a table by a paticular stat, simply click the column header for the stat. To see historical statistics from previous seasons, select the season you want to see in the drop down menu below.

Offense Stats

Team Points Rush
YPG
Pass
YPG
Total
YPG
Gives

Defense Stats

Team Points Rush
YPG
Pass
YPG
Total
YPG
Takes

Currently displaying full season statistics for:  

Offense Stats

Team Points FG Pts Rush TDs Pass TDs TRt TDs KRt TDs PRt TDs Safeties PAT Miss 2Pt M/A

Abbreviations: FG Pts: Total Points scored by field goals; Rush TDs: Total number of TDs scored by rushing; Pass TDs: Total number of TDs scored by passing; TRt TDs: Total number of TDs scored by returning a turnover (fumble or interception); KRt TDs: Total number of TDs scored by kickoff return; PRt TDs: Total number of TDs scored by punt return; PAT Miss: Total missed extra points (kick only); 2pt M/A: 2-point conversions Made/Attempted

Defense Stats

Team Points FG Pts Rush TDs Pass TDs TRt TDs KRt TDs PRt TDs Safeties PAT Miss 2Pt M/A

Abbreviations: FG Pts: Total Points scored by field goals; Rush TDs: Total number of TDs scored by rushing; Pass TDs: Total number of TDs scored by passing; TRt TDs: Total number of TDs scored by returning a turnover (fumble or interception); KRt TDs: Total number of TDs scored by kickoff return; PRt TDs: Total number of TDs scored by punt return; PAT Miss: Total missed extra points (kick only); 2pt M/A: 2-point conversions Made/Attempted

Offense Stats

Team Rush Atts Rush Yds Yds/Att Yds/Gm Rush Loss Plays Rush Loss Yards

Defense Stats

Team Rush Atts Rush Yds Yds/Att Yds/Gm Rush Loss Plays Rush Loss Yards

Offense Stats

Team Comp Atts Pct Net Gross Yds
Play
Yds
Comp
Yds
Gm
Ints QBRate Sacks
Allwd.
Yds
Sack

Abbreviations: Comp: Total completions; Atts: Total attempts; Pct: Pass completion percentage; Net: Total net passing yards (gross yards minus sack yards); Gross: Total gross passing yards; Yds Play: Average yards gained per pass play (includes sack plays); Yds Comp: Average yards gained per pass completion; Ints: Interceptions; QBRate: Total team offensive QB rating; Sacks Allwd.: Total sacks allowed by offense; Yds Sack: Average yards given up per sack.

Defense Stats

Team Comp Atts Pct Net Gross Yds
Play
Yds
Comp
Yds
Gm
Ints QBRate Sacks
By
Yds
Sack

Abbreviations: Comp: Total completions allowed by defense; Atts: Total attempts made on defense; Pct: Pass completion percentage allowed by defense; Net: Total net passing yards (gross yards minus sack yards) allowed by defense; Gross: Total gross passing yards allowed by defense; Yds Play: Average yards allowed by defense per pass play (includes sack plays); Yds Comp: Average yards allowed by defense per pass completion; Ints: Interceptions by defense; QBRate: Total team QB rating allowed by defense; Sacks By.: Total sacks by defense; Yds Sack: Average yards gained up per sack.

Offense Stats

Team Ints Fumbles Fumb Lost Gives TO Ratio

Defense Stats

Team Ints Fumbles Fumb Gained Takes

Offense Stats

Team KO Rets KO Ret Yds Yds/KORet Punt Ret Punt Ret Yds Yds/PuntRet INT Ret INT Ret Yds Yds/INTRet

Abbreviations: KO Rets: Total number of kickoff returns; KO Ret Yds: Total number of kickoff return yds; Yds/KORet: Average yards gained per kickoff return; Punt Rets: Total number of punt returns; Punt Ret Yds: Total number of punt return yds; Yds/PuntRet: Average yards gained per punt return; INT Rets: Total number of interception returns by defense; INT Ret Yds: Total number of interception return yds by defense; Yds/INTRet: Average yards gained per interception return by defense.

Defense Stats

Team KO Rets KO Ret Yds Yds/KORet Punt Ret Punt Ret Yds Yds/PuntRet INT Ret INT Ret Yds Yds/INTRet

Abbreviations: KO Rets: Total number of kickoff returns allowed; KO Ret Yds: Total number of kickoff return yds allowed; Yds/KORet: Average yards allowed per kickoff return; Punt Rets: Total number of punt returns allowed; Punt Ret Yds: Total number of punt return yds allowed; Yds/PuntRet: Average yards allowed per punt return; INT Rets: Total number of interception returns allowed; INT Ret Yds: Total number of interception return yds allowed; Yds/INTRet: Average yards allowed per interception return.

Offense Stats

Team Punts Punt Yds FG Atts FG Made FG Pct KOs KO EZ KO TB Punt Blk FG Blk PAT Blk

Abbreviations: Punts: Total punts by offense; Punt Yds: Total yards by punts by offense; FG Atts: Total field goal attempts; FG Made: Total number of field goals made; FG Pct: Field goal conversion percentage; KOs: Total number of kick-offs executed; KO EZ: Total number of kickoffs executed that reached the end zone; KO TB: Total number of kickoffs executed that were not returned for a touchback; Punt Blk: Total number of punts attempts that were blocked; FG Blk: Total number of field goal attempts that were blocked; PAT Blk: Total number of point after attempts that were blocked.

Defense Stats

Team Punts Punt Yds FG Atts FG Made FG Pct KOs KO EZ KO TB Punt Blk FG Blk PAT Blk

Abbreviations: Punts: Total punts by opposing offenses; Punt Yds: Total yards by punts by opposing offenses; FG Atts: Total field goal attempts by opposing offenses; FG Made: Total number of field goals made by opposing offenses; FG Pct: Field goal conversion percentage by opposing offenses; KOs: Total number of kick-offs by opposing offenses; KO EZ: Total number of kickoffs by opposing offenses that reached the end zone; KO TB: Total number of kickoffs by opposing offenses that were not returned for a touchback; Punt Blk: Total number of punts attempts that were blocked by defense; FG Blk: Total number of field goal attempts that were blocked by defense; PAT Blk: Total number of point after attempts that were blocked by defense.

Offense Stats

Team 3rd Att 3rd Made 3rd Pct 4th Att 4th Made 4th Pct Red Att Red Made Red Pct G2G Att G2G Made G2G Pct

Abbreviations: 3rd Att: Total third down attempts by offense; 3rd Made: Total third down conversions by offense; 3rd Pct: Offensive third down conversion rate; 4th Att: Total fourth down attempts by offense; 4th Made: Total fourth down conversions by offense; 4th Pct: Offensive fourth down conversion rate; Red Att: Total red zone visits by offense; Red Made: Total red zone scores (TDs) by offense; Red Pct: Offensive red zone success rate; G2G Att: Total goal-to-go attempts by offense; G2G Made: Total goal-to-go scores (TDs) by offense; G2G Pct: Offensive goal-to-go success rate.

Defense Stats

Team 3rd Att 3rd Made 3rd Pct 4th Att 4th Made 4th Pct Red Att Red Made Red Pct G2G Att G2G Made G2G Pct

Abbreviations: 3rd Att: Total third down attempts by opposing offenses; 3rd Made: Total third down conversions by opposing offenses; 3rd Pct: Defensive third down conversion rate allowed; 4th Att: Total fourth down attempts by opposing offenses; 4th Made: Total fourth down conversions by opposing offenses; 4th Pct: Defensive fourth down conversion rate; Red Att: Total red zone visits by opposing offenses; Red Made: Total red zone scores (TDs) by opposing offenses; Red Pct: Defensive red zone success rate allowed; G2G Att: Total goal-to-go attempts by opposing offenses; G2G Made: Total goal-to-go scores (TDs) by opposing offenses; G2G Pct: Defensive goal-to-go success rate allowed.

Offense Stats

Team Firsts Firsts Rush Firsts Pass Firsts Pen Penalties Pen Yds ToT Net Yds/Gm

Abbreviations: Firsts: Total first downs by offense; Firsts Rush: Total offensive first downs by rushing plays; Firsts Pass: Total offensive first downs by passing plays; Firsts Pen: Total offensive first downs by penaltes called on the opposing defense; Penalties: Total penalties committed by the team (both offensive and defensive); Pen Yds: Total penalty yards assessed against the team (both offense and defense).

Defense Stats

Team Firsts Firsts Rush Firsts Pass Firsts Pen Penalties Pen Yds ToT Net Yds/Gm

Abbreviations: Firsts: Total first downs by opposing offenses; Firsts Rush: Total defensive first downs allowed by rushing plays; Firsts Pass: Total defensive first downs allowed by passing plays; Firsts Pen: Total defensive first downs allowed by penaltes called on the defense; Penalties: Total penalties committed by opponents (both offensive and defensive); Pen Yds: Total penalty yards assessed against opponents (both offense and defense).

This table shows the cumulative won-loss record of all teams that followed the noted trend for the game (e.g. had more rushing yards during the game or had fewer turnovers). These trends give an indication of the important statistics to analyze when handicapping, because they show how teams are winning (or losing) games this year.

Trend Wins Losses Average

 

Statistics - Last Five Games

These tables contain the latest NFL season statistics for each team, broken out by category. To sort a table by a paticular stat, simply click the column header for the stat.

Offense Stats

Team Points FG Pts Rush TDs Pass TDs TRt TDs KRt TDs PRt TDs Safeties PAT Miss 2Pt M/A

Abbreviations: FG Pts: Total Points scored by field goals; Rush TDs: Total number of TDs scored by rushing; Pass TDs: Total number of TDs scored by passing; TRt TDs: Total number of TDs scored by returning a turnover (fumble or interception); KRt TDs: Total number of TDs scored by kickoff return; PRt TDs: Total number of TDs scored by punt return; PAT Miss: Total missed extra points (kick only); 2pt M/A: 2-point conversions Made/Attempted

Defense Stats

Team Points FG Pts Rush TDs Pass TDs TRt TDs KRt TDs PRt TDs Safeties PAT Miss 2Pt M/A

Abbreviations: FG Pts: Total Points scored by field goals; Rush TDs: Total number of TDs scored by rushing; Pass TDs: Total number of TDs scored by passing; TRt TDs: Total number of TDs scored by returning a turnover (fumble or interception); KRt TDs: Total number of TDs scored by kickoff return; PRt TDs: Total number of TDs scored by punt return; PAT Miss: Total missed extra points (kick only); 2pt M/A: 2-point conversions Made/Attempted

Offense Stats

Team Rush Atts Rush Yds Yds/Att Yds/Gm Rush Loss Plays Rush Loss Yards

Defense Stats

Team Rush Atts Rush Yds Yds/Att Yds/Gm Rush Loss Plays Rush Loss Yards

Offense Stats

Team Comp Atts Pct Net Gross Yds
Play
Yds
Comp
Yds
Gm
Ints QBRate Sacks
Allwd.
Yds
Sack

Abbreviations: Comp: Total completions; Atts: Total attempts; Pct: Pass completion percentage; Net: Total net passing yards (gross yards minus sack yards); Gross: Total gross passing yards; Yds Play: Average yards gained per pass play (includes sack plays); Yds Comp: Average yards gained per pass completion; Ints: Interceptions; QBRate: Total team offensive QB rating; Sacks Allwd.: Total sacks allowed by offense; Yds Sack: Average yards given up per sack.

Defense Stats

Team Comp Atts Pct Net Gross Yds
Play
Yds
Comp
Yds
Gm
Ints QBRate Sacks
By
Yds
Sack

Abbreviations: Comp: Total completions allowed by defense; Atts: Total attempts made on defense; Pct: Pass completion percentage allowed by defense; Net: Total net passing yards (gross yards minus sack yards) allowed by defense; Gross: Total gross passing yards allowed by defense; Yds Play: Average yards allowed by defense per pass play (includes sack plays); Yds Comp: Average yards allowed by defense per pass completion; Ints: Interceptions by defense; QBRate: Total team QB rating allowed by defense; Sacks By.: Total sacks by defense; Yds Sack: Average yards gained up per sack.

Offense Stats

Team Ints Fumbles Fumb Lost Gives TO Ratio

Defense Stats

Team Ints Fumbles Fumb Gained Takes

Offense Stats

Team KO Rets KO Ret Yds Yds/KORet Punt Ret Punt Ret Yds Yds/PuntRet INT Ret INT Ret Yds Yds/INTRet

Abbreviations: KO Rets: Total number of kickoff returns; KO Ret Yds: Total number of kickoff return yds; Yds/KORet: Average yards gained per kickoff return; Punt Rets: Total number of punt returns; Punt Ret Yds: Total number of punt return yds; Yds/PuntRet: Average yards gained per punt return; INT Rets: Total number of interception returns by defense; INT Ret Yds: Total number of interception return yds by defense; Yds/INTRet: Average yards gained per interception return by defense.

Defense Stats

Team KO Rets KO Ret Yds Yds/KORet Punt Ret Punt Ret Yds Yds/PuntRet INT Ret INT Ret Yds Yds/INTRet

Abbreviations: KO Rets: Total number of kickoff returns allowed; KO Ret Yds: Total number of kickoff return yds allowed; Yds/KORet: Average yards allowed per kickoff return; Punt Rets: Total number of punt returns allowed; Punt Ret Yds: Total number of punt return yds allowed; Yds/PuntRet: Average yards allowed per punt return; INT Rets: Total number of interception returns allowed; INT Ret Yds: Total number of interception return yds allowed; Yds/INTRet: Average yards allowed per interception return.

Offense Stats

Team Punts Punt Yds FG Atts FG Made FG Pct KOs KO EZ KO TB Punt Blk FG Blk PAT Blk

Abbreviations: Punts: Total punts by offense; Punt Yds: Total yards by punts by offense; FG Atts: Total field goal attempts; FG Made: Total number of field goals made; FG Pct: Field goal conversion percentage; KOs: Total number of kick-offs executed; KO EZ: Total number of kickoffs executed that reached the end zone; KO TB: Total number of kickoffs executed that were not returned for a touchback; Punt Blk: Total number of punts attempts that were blocked; FG Blk: Total number of field goal attempts that were blocked; PAT Blk: Total number of point after attempts that were blocked.

Defense Stats

Team Punts Punt Yds FG Atts FG Made FG Pct KOs KO EZ KO TB Punt Blk FG Blk PAT Blk

Abbreviations: Punts: Total punts by opposing offenses; Punt Yds: Total yards by punts by opposing offenses; FG Atts: Total field goal attempts by opposing offenses; FG Made: Total number of field goals made by opposing offenses; FG Pct: Field goal conversion percentage by opposing offenses; KOs: Total number of kick-offs by opposing offenses; KO EZ: Total number of kickoffs by opposing offenses that reached the end zone; KO TB: Total number of kickoffs by opposing offenses that were not returned for a touchback; Punt Blk: Total number of punts attempts that were blocked by defense; FG Blk: Total number of field goal attempts that were blocked by defense; PAT Blk: Total number of point after attempts that were blocked by defense.

Offense Stats

Team 3rd Att 3rd Made 3rd Pct 4th Att 4th Made 4th Pct Red Att Red Made Red Pct G2G Att G2G Made G2G Pct

Abbreviations: 3rd Att: Total third down attempts by offense; 3rd Made: Total third down conversions by offense; 3rd Pct: Offensive third down conversion rate; 4th Att: Total fourth down attempts by offense; 4th Made: Total fourth down conversions by offense; 4th Pct: Offensive fourth down conversion rate; Red Att: Total red zone visits by offense; Red Made: Total red zone scores (TDs) by offense; Red Pct: Offensive red zone success rate; G2G Att: Total goal-to-go attempts by offense; G2G Made: Total goal-to-go scores (TDs) by offense; G2G Pct: Offensive goal-to-go success rate.

Defense Stats

Team 3rd Att 3rd Made 3rd Pct 4th Att 4th Made 4th Pct Red Att Red Made Red Pct G2G Att G2G Made G2G Pct

Abbreviations: 3rd Att: Total third down attempts by opposing offenses; 3rd Made: Total third down conversions by opposing offenses; 3rd Pct: Defensive third down conversion rate allowed; 4th Att: Total fourth down attempts by opposing offenses; 4th Made: Total fourth down conversions by opposing offenses; 4th Pct: Defensive fourth down conversion rate; Red Att: Total red zone visits by opposing offenses; Red Made: Total red zone scores (TDs) by opposing offenses; Red Pct: Defensive red zone success rate allowed; G2G Att: Total goal-to-go attempts by opposing offenses; G2G Made: Total goal-to-go scores (TDs) by opposing offenses; G2G Pct: Defensive goal-to-go success rate allowed.

Offense Stats

Team Firsts Firsts Rush Firsts Pass Firsts Pen Penalties Pen Yds ToT Net Yds/Gm

Abbreviations: Firsts: Total first downs by offense; Firsts Rush: Total offensive first downs by rushing plays; Firsts Pass: Total offensive first downs by passing plays; Firsts Pen: Total offensive first downs by penaltes called on the opposing defense; Penalties: Total penalties committed by the team (both offensive and defensive); Pen Yds: Total penalty yards assessed against the team (both offense and defense).

Defense Stats

Team Firsts Firsts Rush Firsts Pass Firsts Pen Penalties Pen Yds ToT Net Yds/Gm

Abbreviations: Firsts: Total first downs by opposing offenses; Firsts Rush: Total defensive first downs allowed by rushing plays; Firsts Pass: Total defensive first downs allowed by passing plays; Firsts Pen: Total defensive first downs allowed by penaltes called on the defense; Penalties: Total penalties committed by opponents (both offensive and defensive); Pen Yds: Total penalty yards assessed against opponents (both offense and defense).

Game Analysis

Statistical analysis for upcoming games are shown below. The tabs contain the following analysis information: Previous Meetings show the results of the previous meetings since 2001 for the two teams (maximum 10). The Current Season tab shows the current season results for both teams. The Head to Head tabs show how the two teams match up in various statistical categories, both for the full season statistics and statistics covering the last 5 games. The "Full" tab used the full season statistics to compute the trends, while the "Last 5" tab computes the trends based upon the stats from the last five games for each team. The Analytics tab shows the results of our statistical models.

Game analysis for Week 1 of the 2016 season will be posted on September 5 - stay tuned!.